Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-5
Barakaldo vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
GER
0 - 1
BAR
29%
30%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEI
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SDA
2 - 0
BAR
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
GIM
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
TRO
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
MIR
3 - 1
ARE
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CDV
0 - 2
MIR
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
RSO
0 - 1
MIR
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
UDL
57%
25%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 2
ACF
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |