Barakaldo vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
3º
1º
30
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
URD
1 - 1
BAR
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 1
BAR
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 0
CDT
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 5
BAR
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
DEU
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 2
LON
36%
25%
38%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
LON
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
CDU
41%
27%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CDP
0 - 0
LON
25%
27%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |