Barakaldo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
LEV
3 - 1
BAR
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
BAR
6 - 1
MLL
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
BET
3 - 2
BAR
70%
17%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
BAR
0 - 7
RSO
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ALC
3 - 0
BAR
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
HER
3 - 2
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
RCD
2 - 0
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
LEV
0 - 2
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |