Barakaldo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ARE
3 - 1
BAR
48%
23%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 1
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 3
SPO
44%
23%
33%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
ALC
6 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 0
CUL
66%
17%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
HER
1 - 1
SDC
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 3
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |