Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-7
Barakaldo vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 3
RCF
64%
18%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
RCD
3 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
4 - 2
MAL
73%
16%
12%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
HER
3 - 2
BAR
60%
21%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
5 - 1
LEV
58%
19%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ATM
8 - 3
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ESP
1 - 2
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
FCB
5 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |