Barakaldo vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
ESP
3 - 0
BAR
79%
12%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
RCF
5 - 2
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 2
JFC
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BAR
0 - 4
ESP
39%
23%
39%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SDC
2 - 1
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
CON
3 - 1
RCF
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
JFC
3 - 2
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
CON
5 - 1
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
OVI
4 - 1
CON
83%
10%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |