Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-1
Barakaldo vs CD Turón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 4
RAC
32%
29%
39%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
HUL
2 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAC
84%
12%
4%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
ARE
1 - 3
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
SDI
39%
26%
34%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Turón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
TUR
3 - 0
ENS
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ALO
3 - 1
TUR
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
TUR
1 - 0
ATO
76%
16%
9%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
LEO
1 - 3
TUR
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
TUR
2 - 1
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |