Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-3
Barakaldo vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
SFC
1 - 1
BAR
27%
28%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
RAC
0 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
BAR
2 - 2
SDE
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
MUT
1 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
BAR
2 - 0
RAC
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
CAS
4 - 0
SSC
60%
23%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALZ
84%
11%
6%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
ATB
1 - 4
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
CAS
2 - 2
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
ALZ
2 - 1
CAS
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | -1 |