Barakaldo vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
GDE
2 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1977 |
BAR
0 - 0
ALC
88%
9%
4%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAB
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
OVI
1 - 2
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAR
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CAS
2 - 2
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
CAS
2 - 0
LOG
89%
8%
3%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
CCF
3 - 2
CAS
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
CAS
0 - 0
TER
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LOG
1 - 3
CAS
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |