Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
Barakaldo vs Béjar Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
OVI
1 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
1 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
BAR
0 - 0
UES
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
BÉJ
1 - 1
BAR
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
1 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Béjar Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
BÉJ
1 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BÉJ
2 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
ARG
4 - 1
BÉJ
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
BÉJ
1 - 1
BAR
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BÉJ
0 - 1
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |