Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Barakaldo vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
RAC
2 - 2
BAR
71%
16%
12%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
BAR
6 - 1
RCF
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
CUL
4 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARE
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
SLA
3 - 1
BAR
45%
23%
33%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
87%
8%
4%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
DEP
2 - 0
ATH
33%
24%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
ATH
5 - 2
FCB
70%
15%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
ATH
4 - 1
GRA
83%
10%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |