Barakaldo vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
RUN
24%
28%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 5
ATH
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAR
28%
30%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
SPB
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
CUL
1 - 1
ATH
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 5
ATH
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RUN
1 - 1
ATH
68%
21%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |