Barakaldo vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 1
RAC
15%
25%
60%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 2
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 0
LOG
47%
26%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ALF
1 - 1
ATH
28%
28%
45%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
RUN
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
GIM
2 - 0
ATH
36%
30%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ATH
0 - 0
CDO
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |