Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
Barakaldo vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
SDA
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ZAL
0 - 2
BAR
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
GER
0 - 2
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
BAR
2 - 1
ARE
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
CDU
4 - 2
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
ATH
0 - 0
SAB
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ALB
1 - 0
ATH
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
LOG
6 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ATH
2 - 1
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATH
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |