Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-2
Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
BAR
3 - 1
SPB
77%
17%
6%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
CDG
1 - 2
BAR
27%
31%
42%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
BAR
2 - 2
CUL
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ARE
2 - 2
BAR
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BAR
34%
31%
34%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
ARE
1 - 0
UPL
33%
32%
35%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 0
ARE
59%
26%
16%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ARE
4 - 1
CDG
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ARE
2 - 2
BAR
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CUL
3 - 2
ARE
82%
14%
5%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |