Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-6
Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
RCF
1 - 0
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPO
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
DEP
3 - 0
BAR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
BAR
9 - 1
AVI
66%
17%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1935 |
VAD
3 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
6 - 1
ARE
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
ARE
0 - 1
RAC
33%
21%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SEV
4 - 0
ARE
69%
16%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
ARE
0 - 1
ATH
29%
21%
50%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARE
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |