Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Barakaldo vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PON
1 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
SDE
0 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1970 |
ALC
3 - 1
BAR
88%
8%
3%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
CDG
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
CFP
1 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
38%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
CAL
3 - 3
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
MAN
0 - 1
ALC
26%
30%
45%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1970 |
ALC
3 - 1
BAR
88%
8%
3%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
ALC
2 - 0
LIN
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALC
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |