Barakaldo vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
CUL
3 - 0
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 0
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 2
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
BAR
2 - 1
CON
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
OSA
3 - 0
BAR
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 0
SDC
56%
21%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
ALC
2 - 1
ARE
69%
16%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ALC
3 - 0
CUL
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |