Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-2
Barakaldo vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAB
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
OVI
1 - 2
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAR
25%
24%
52%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 1
DEP
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 0
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 2
ALC
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAR
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
3 - 0
SDA
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
GUA
0 - 1
ALC
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |