Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-3
Barakaldo vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ALA
1 - 1
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
11 - 2
ARE
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ARE
1 - 4
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 5
OSA
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARE
3 - 2
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ALA
1 - 1
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
ALA
3 - 1
RAC
84%
10%
6%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
FER
1 - 0
ALA
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
RAC
1 - 4
ALA
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ALA
4 - 0
FER
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |