Bar vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
MLA
3 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
DEC
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRB
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZET
0 - 0
SUT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
ZET
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 2
BUD
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RUD
2 - 2
ZET
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 2
RUD
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |