Bar vs Mogren analysis


60	ELO	68
2.7%	Tilt	0%
14217º	General ELO ranking	14064º
19º	Country ELO ranking	14º
ELO win probability

36%

Bar

27.1%

Draw

37%

Mogren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

36%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%

27.1%

Draw

0-0

8.3%

1-1

12.8%

2-2

5%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.1%

37%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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Matches