Bar vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
BAR
40%
29%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
SUT
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUD
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
5 - 0
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
GRB
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
BUD
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RUD
4 - 3
GRB
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 1
ZET
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |