China League Two Play Off Ascenso 1/16
Global 5-7
Baotou Nanjiao vs Yanbian Beiguo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baotou Nanjiao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
YBE
2 - 1
BAO
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HBS
0 - 0
BAO
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BAO
0 - 2
HBS
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BAO
2 - 4
HOH
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JIB
2 - 0
BAO
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Yanbian Beiguo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
YBE
2 - 1
BAO
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |