Baotou Nanjiao vs Jilin Baijia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
74.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baotou Nanjiao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ZSU
2 - 0
BAO
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BAO
0 - 4
BIT
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAO
0 - 3
HEB
9%
18%
73%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BAO
1 - 2
SHE
11%
20%
68%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
QIN
2 - 0
BAO
80%
15%
6%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Jilin Baijia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
JIB
2 - 1
DBO
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
JIB
1 - 0
ZSU
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BIT
3 - 3
JIB
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
JIB
3 - 5
HEB
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
2 - 3
JIB
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |