Baniyas vs Al-Jazira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
11º
11º
24
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 49 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 47 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 34 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 33 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 33 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 28 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 20 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 16 |
12º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 7 |
14º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baniyas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 2
DAH
30%
23%
47%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
JED
0 - 4
BAY
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 0
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
AJM
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
AJM
1 - 1
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Jazira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
BAT
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
42%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
CAD
2 - 1
AJA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 0
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 2
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |