Baník Most - Souš vs Jablonec II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
5º
34
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Most - Souš
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BMS
0 - 0
KOL
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SOK
0 - 1
BMS
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
NER
0 - 1
BMS
18%
20%
61%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BMS
1 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BMS
0 - 1
VPZ
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
JBN
2 - 1
SOK
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 4
JBN
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
JBN
0 - 0
UST
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
JBN
1 - 1
HIA
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
JBN
1 - 1
FCP
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | -1 |