Baník Most - Souš vs Pardubice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
14º
10º
6
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
13 | 33 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 31 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 30 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 30 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 28 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 22 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 18 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 18 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 18 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 17 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 14 |
17º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Most - Souš
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BMS
1 - 2
SLI
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ACL
3 - 1
BMS
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 4
BMS
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BMS
3 - 3
HKI
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 3
BMS
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pardubice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UST
1 - 0
PAR
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
UST
22%
23%
56%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 3
MBI
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SLI
2 - 3
PAR
47%
23%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEL
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |