Baník Most - Souš vs Sparta Kolín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
5º
43
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Most - Souš
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SOK
0 - 1
BMS
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
NER
0 - 1
BMS
18%
20%
61%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BMS
1 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BMS
0 - 1
VPZ
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 4
BMS
44%
22%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Kolín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 1
KOL
13%
15%
73%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 0
ACL
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 3
FKD
55%
20%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 2
ESK
84%
10%
5%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 2
FKC
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |