Bangu vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BON
0 - 1
BAN
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 2
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
BAN
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
11%
21%
69%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAS
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 2
VAS
12%
20%
67%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
AUD
0 - 4
VAS
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |