Bangu vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
BAN
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
VOL
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAN
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 0
BAN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 3
VAS
13%
20%
68%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 0
VAS
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |