Bangu vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 0
BAN
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 3
FER
29%
29%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
BAN
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 2
CAB
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
TCW
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 6
FER
20%
28%
52%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |