Bangu vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
PPE
1 - 2
BAN
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
BAN
1 - 1
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BAN
1 - 0
TRE
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
PAL
2 - 2
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
SAO
5 - 0
JEC
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SAO
6 - 1
PPE
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
SAO
4 - 1
TRE
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |