Bangu vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
BAN
29%
28%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
GOY
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
CAB
4 - 1
POR
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
CAM
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BON
0 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
NOV
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |