Bangu vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 2
BAN
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
70%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 1
BON
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
5 - 0
OLA
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
2 - 1
MAD
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
OLA
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |