Bangu vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 1
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 1
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
NAU
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 2
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
6 - 0
TDC
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 4
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |