Bangu vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 0
BAN
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CAB
2 - 1
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BAN
0 - 0
NPR
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
TCW
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 0
CAB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 4
MIR
17%
26%
58%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MIR
5 - 2
CAS
56%
24%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |