Bangu vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOT
9%
21%
70%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 0
BAN
87%
11%
3%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 0
BOA
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
BAN
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 0
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 0
MAC
88%
9%
2%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 2
RES
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 2
VAS
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |