Bangu vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 2
BAN
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
11%
21%
69%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 0
AUD
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
FRI
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 4
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
VAS
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +1 |