Bangu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.2%
73.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
21.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
28.6%
0-2
19.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.3%
-2
23.4%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
VOL
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
84%
13%
4%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAD
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
VAS
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
AUD
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
FLU
15%
24%
62%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |