Bangu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
68.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 0
AUD
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 2
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
DUQ
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 0
RES
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 3
FLU
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
BON
87%
11%
2%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 2
FLU
15%
24%
61%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLU
30%
29%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |