Bangu vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.8%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
81.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
20%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
14.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
17.1%
0-4
8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
RES
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BOA
2 - 2
BAN
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 2
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PER
3 - 1
BAN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FLA
5 - 0
NOV
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 0
FLA
4%
14%
83%
|
90 | 44 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 1
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
AUD
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 44 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
AVA
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |