Bangu vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 0
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 1
BAN
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOT
9%
21%
70%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
DES
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |