Bangu vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 1
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
REM
2 - 2
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
BAN
1 - 0
COT
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
SAM
0 - 0
BAN
20%
28%
53%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BAN
3 - 0
SOB
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
CEA
0 - 2
FLU
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CEA
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
CEA
0 - 0
OPE
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SCI
1 - 1
CEA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
SAO
4 - 0
CEA
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |