Bangu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RES
0 - 3
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAN
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAN
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
BOT
15%
21%
64%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
FRI
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |