Bangu vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAN
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 0
BAN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
VOL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
RES
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 2
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 5
FLU
10%
22%
68%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 1
AME
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
MAD
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |