Bangu vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
2 - 3
BAN
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
MAD
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
BAN
36%
25%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 2
VAS
13%
21%
67%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RES
0 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
BOA
43%
23%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
FLU
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AME
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |