Bangu vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
BAN
62%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOA
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
CIA
25%
30%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
BAN
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 2
SAN
21%
28%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
51%
27%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
INT
1 - 1
POR
31%
30%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
SAN
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
POR
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
CIA
56%
27%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |