Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-3
Bangu vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 0
BAN
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
22%
67%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
DUQ
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
3 - 3
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
PPE
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |