Bangor vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
COA
3 - 1
BAN
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ARD
1 - 0
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
LIM
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 2
ARC
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
BAN
45%
23%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CLI
3 - 2
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 4
LIN
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |